WASHINGTON, USA - JANUARY 20: Phil Murphy, Governor of New Jersey, is seen as supporters of Joe Biden gather outside the Capitol building during the inauguration of Joe Biden as US President in Washington, DC, United States on January 20, 2021. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

There’s a gubernatorial race this upcoming Tuesday in the state with the 11th largest population in the nation. No, it’s not in Virginia (which has the 12th largest population). It’s in New Jersey.

You may not have heard much about the election in the Garden State between incumbent Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy and Republican Jack Ciattarelli.
One big reason why: In an era in which many non-presidential elections, like Virginia’s, have clear national implications, the race in New Jersey looks like it’ll prove that some politics is still local.
Another reason for a lack of coverage: the race doesn’t look to be all that close. Murphy holds a clear advantage over Ciattarelli in the final days of the campaign. He leads by 8 points in an average of recent polls, including 9-point and 11-point advantages in recently published Stockton University and Monmouth University surveys respectively.